2008 United States presidential election in Idaho

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United States presidential election in Idaho, 2008

← 2004 November 4, 2008 2012 →
  John McCain official portrait 2009.jpg Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 4 0
Popular vote 403,012 236,440
Percentage 61.21% 35.91%

Idaho presidential election results 2008.svg
County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 4 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Idaho was won by Republican nominee John McCain by a 25.3% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Polling in the state gave a very comfortable lead to Republican John McCain over Democrat Barack Obama, sometimes by a margin of at least 30 percent, the most being 43 percent. Idaho was largely considered a safely Republican state, as it has not gone Democratic since Lyndon B. Johnson's landslide victory in 1964.

Primaries[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

Polling[edit]

McCain won every pre-election poll, each with a double-digit margin and with at least 52%. The final 3 poll average gave the Republican 66% to 29%.[14]

Fundraising[edit]

Obama raised $874,523. McCain raised $441,338.[15]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Obama spent $268. McCain spent $434.[16] Neither campaign visited the state.[17]

Analysis[edit]

With a substantial Mormon population, Idaho is one of the most reliably GOP bastions in the country. Although Barack Obama became the first Democratic presidential candidate since Michael Dukakis in 1988 to eclipse 35 percent of the vote in solidly red state Idaho,[18] the state was still won handily by John McCain by a margin of approximately 25.34 percent. McCain carried 41 of the state’s 44 counties, with Obama winning Blaine County, home to Sun Valley and several other prime ski resorts; Latah County, home to the college town of Moscow, and Teton County, a highly affluent suburb of Teton County, Wyoming. Obama was the first and only Democrat to carry Teton County since Harry S. Truman in 1948.[19] While Obama did not carry Ada County, he did carry the state capital and city of Boise. McCain’s victory in Idaho, however, was less than that of George W. Bush who carried the state with 68.38% of the vote in 2004, a 12.78-percent swing to the Democrats in Idaho.

With 61.21% of the popular vote, Idaho proved to be McCain's fourth strongest state in 2008 election after Oklahoma, Wyoming and Utah.[20]

During the same election, Republicans held onto the open U.S. Senate seat vacated by Republican Larry Craig who reluctantly retired after it was revealed that he had solicited a man for sex in the men’s restroom at an airport in Minneapolis. Former Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch, a Republican, was elected with 57.65% of the vote over Democrat Larry LaRocco who received 34.11%. A pro-life independent candidate received 5.35% while Libertarian Kent Marmon received 1.54% and Rex Rammell, a far right-wing candidate who also ran as an Independent, received 1.34%.

At the state level, Republicans expanded their supermajority status in the Idaho state legislature as they picked up one seat in the Idaho House of Representatives.

Results[edit]

United States presidential election in Idaho, 2008[21]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 403,012 61.21% 4
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 236,440 35.91% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 7,175 1.09% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 4,747 0.72% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 3,658 0.56% 0
Write-ins Write-ins 3,340 0.51% 0
American Independent (Write-in) Alan Keyes (Write-in) Brian Rohrbough 40 0.01% 0
Green (Write-in) Cynthia McKinney (Write-in) Rosa Clemente 39 0.01% 0
Socialist (Write-in) Brian Moore (Write-in) Stewart Alexander 3 0.00% 0
Totals 658,454 100.00% 4
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 60.1%

Results breakdown[edit]

By county[edit]

County Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain# Others% Others# Total
Ada County 45.84% 82,236 52.02% 93,328 2.14% 3,838 179,402
Adams County 31.38% 728 65.39% 1,517 3.23% 75 2,320
Bannock County 42.14% 14,792 55.14% 19,356 2.73% 957 35,105
Bear Lake County 17.06% 502 80.77% 2,377 2.17% 64 2,943
Benewah County 33.79% 1,407 63.54% 2,646 2.67% 111 4,164
Bingham County 25.79% 4,424 71.29% 12,230 2.92% 501 17,155
Blaine County 65.72% 6,947 32.53% 3,439 1.75% 185 10,571
Boise County 32.87% 1,240 64.48% 2,433 2.65% 100 3,773
Bonner County 40.11% 7,840 57.02% 11,145 2.88% 562 19,547
Bonneville County 27.38% 11,417 70.34% 29,334 2.28% 952 41,703
Boundary County 31.35% 1,484 65.03% 3,078 3.61% 171 4,733
Butte County 22.55% 318 74.89% 1,056 2.55% 36 1,410
Camas County 30.26% 187 68.28% 422 1.46% 9 618
Canyon County 31.36% 20,147 66.54% 42,752 2.10% 1,347 64,246
Caribou County 16.75% 553 80.44% 2,656 2.82% 93 3,302
Cassia County 16.99% 1,332 80.45% 6,309 2.56% 201 7,842
Clark County 17.07% 64 81.33% 305 1.60% 6 375
Clearwater County 31.00% 1,211 65.77% 2,569 3.23% 126 3,906
Custer County 25.98% 611 72.02% 1,694 2.00% 47 2,352
Elmore County 30.71% 2,591 67.15% 5,665 2.13% 180 8,436
Franklin County 11.83% 600 83.70% 4,246 4.47% 227 5,073
Fremont County 18.11% 1,065 79.93% 4,700 1.96% 115 5,880
Gem County 27.26% 2,166 70.28% 5,585 2.47% 196 7,947
Gooding County 27.62% 1,489 69.84% 3,765 2.54% 137 5,391
Idaho County 24.57% 2,017 71.80% 5,895 3.63% 298 8,210
Jefferson County 15.72% 1,641 81.79% 8,540 2.49% 260 10,441
Jerome County 26.20% 1,794 71.52% 4,897 2.28% 156 6,847
Kootenai County 35.72% 22,120 61.98% 38,387 2.30% 1,425 61,932
Latah County 51.91% 9,195 45.09% 7,988 3.00% 531 17,714
Lemhi County 25.85% 1,061 71.57% 2,938 2.58% 106 4,105
Lewis County 26.55% 479 70.68% 1,275 2.77% 50 1,804
Lincoln County 29.14% 545 65.88% 1,232 4.97% 93 1,870
Madison County 12.46% 1,627 85.25% 11,131 2.29% 299 13,057
Minidoka County 23.66% 1,630 73.83% 5,087 2.51% 173 6,890
Nez Perce County 39.97% 7,123 58.11% 10,357 1.92% 343 17,823
Oneida County 17.62% 381 79.74% 1,724 2.64% 57 2,162
Owyhee County 23.26% 944 74.52% 3,024 2.22% 90 4,058
Payette County 28.04% 2,415 69.52% 5,988 2.44% 210 8,613
Power County 36.14% 1,027 61.72% 1,754 2.15% 61 2,842
Shoshone County 44.49% 2,521 52.12% 2,953 3.39% 192 5,666
Teton County 49.42% 2,302 48.58% 2,263 2.00% 93 4,658
Twin Falls County 30.42% 8,621 67.15% 19,032 2.44% 691 28,344
Valley County 45.41% 2,405 52.34% 2,772 2.25% 119 5,296
Washington County 27.54% 1,241 70.31% 3,168 2.15% 97 4,506

By congressional district[edit]

John McCain solidly swept both of Idaho’s two congressional districts.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 61.82% 35.88% Bill Sali (110th Congress)
Walt Minnick (111th Congress)
2nd 61.19% 36.34% Mike Simpson

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[22] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All four were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[23]

  1. Darlene Bramon
  2. Ben Doty
  3. John Erickson
  4. Melinda Smyser

References[edit]

  1. ^ D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries
  2. ^ Presidential | The Cook Political Report Archived May 5, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  3. ^ Adnaan (2008-09-20). "Track the Electoral College vote predictions". The Takeaway. Archived from the original on April 22, 2009. Retrieved 2009-11-14.
  4. ^ Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
  5. ^ a b c d Based on Takeaway
  6. ^ POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com
  7. ^ RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map
  8. ^ CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008 Archived June 14, 2009, at the Wayback Machine
  9. ^ "Electoral College Map". The New York Times. Retrieved 2010-05-26.
  10. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26.
  11. ^ "Winning the Electoral College". Fox News. 2010-04-27.
  12. ^ roadto270
  13. ^ Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™
  14. ^ Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  15. ^ Presidential Campaign Finance
  16. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26.
  17. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26.
  18. ^ 1988 Presidential General Election Results - Idaho
  19. ^ The Political Graveyard; Teton County, Idaho
  20. ^ "2008 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
  21. ^ "Atlas of U.S. Presidential Election Results 2008 - Idaho". Retrieved 2013-01-12.
  22. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-11-01.
  23. ^ U. S. Electoral College 2008 Election - Certificates

See also[edit]