2016 Colorado Democratic caucuses

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Colorado Democratic caucuses, 2016

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  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 41 25
Popular vote 72,846 49,789
Percentage 58.98% 40.31%

Colorado Democratic presidential caucuses, 2016.svg
Colorado results by county
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
  Uncommited

The 2016 Colorado Democratic caucuses took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Colorado as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Colorado caucuses.

Opinion polling[edit]

Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Caucus results March 1, 2016 Bernie Sanders
59.44%
Hillary Clinton
39.85%
Other
0.71%
Washington Free Beacon/TPC Research[1]

Margin of error: ± 3%
Sample size: 1144

February 16–17, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Undecided 9%
Quinnipiac University[2]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 404

November 11–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Martin O'Malley 2%
Undecided 15%
Suffolk University[3]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 159

September 13–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton
59%
Elizabeth Warren
21%
Joe Biden 8%
Andrew Cuomo 4%
Martin O’Malley 0%
Undecided 6%
Other 2%
Refused 1%

Results[edit]

Results of the precinct caucus[edit]

Caucus date
March 1, 2016


e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Colorado
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 72,846 58.98% 41 0 41
Hillary Clinton 49,789 40.31% 25 9 34
Uncommitted 822 0.67% 0 3 3
Others 51 0.04%
Total 123,508 100% 66 12 78
Sources: The Green Papers and Colorado Democrats 2016 Caucus results

Detailed estimates per congressional district[edit]

Detailed results for the Colorado Democratic caucuses, March 1, 2016[4]
District Total estimate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Votes Estimated delegates Votes Estimated delegates Votes Estimated delegates
1st district 29,474 8 16,232 4 13,242 4
2nd district 30,624 7 19,376 4 11,248 3
3rd district 14,671 6 8,956 4 5,715 2
4th district 10,060 5 6,115 3 3,945 2
5th district 10,315 5 6,338 3 3,977 2
6th district 12,836 6 6,675 3 6,161 3
7th district 14,655 6 9,154 4 5,501 4
At-large delegates 122,635 14 72,846 8 49,789 6
Pledged PLEOs 9 5 4
Total 66 38 28

Results of the county assemblies[edit]

Timeframe for the county assemblies
March 2 – March 26, 2016
Colorado Democratic county assemblies, March 2 - March 26, 2016
Candidate State + District delegates[5] Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 372 61.39%
Hillary Clinton 234 38.61%
Uncommitted
Total 606 100%

Results of the congressional district conventions[edit]

Detailed results for the congressional district conventions, April 1–15, 2016[6]

District Delegates
available
Delegates won
Sanders Clinton
1st district 8 5 3
2nd district 7 4 3
3rd district 6 4 2
4th district 5 3 2
5th district 5 3 2
6th district 6 3 3
7th district 6 4 2
Total 43 26 17

Results of the state convention[edit]

State convention date
April 16, 2016
Colorado Democratic State Convention, April 16, 2016[7]
Candidate State convention delegates National delegates won
Count Percentage At-large PLEO Total
Bernie Sanders 1,900 62.3% 9 6 15
Hillary Clinton 1,150 37.7% 5 3 8
Total 3,050 100.0% 14 9 23

Analysis[edit]

As Barack Obama had similarly done eight years earlier in the state, Bernie Sanders won a convincing 19-point victory in the Colorado caucus, relying on turnout from young adult voters in a majority white electorate.[8][9] He ran up big margins in the capital city of Denver and in Denver County at large, as well as in Colorado Springs in El Paso County and Fort Collins in Larimer County. Sanders also performed very strongly in the western parts of the state along the Rocky Mountains, in regions such as the Colorado Mineral belt and Northwestern Colorado which are rural and sparsely populated. Clinton won in the city of Pueblo in Pueblo County.

Sanders gained more delegates over Clinton with a large turnout from supporters at the conventions in April.[10]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Free Beacon Poll: Sanders Overtakes Clinton in Colorado".
  2. ^ "Quinnipiac poll" (PDF).
  3. ^ "Suffolk" (PDF). suffolk.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  4. ^ The Green Papers
  5. ^ "Colorado Democrats 2016 Delegates" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-04-15. Retrieved 2016-04-01.
  6. ^ The Green Papers
  7. ^ The Green Papers
  8. ^ "The Latest: Bernie Sanders wins Colorado's Democratic caucus". Retrieved 2016-08-07.
  9. ^ Reporter, Christina Wilkie National Political; Post, The Huffington (2016-03-01). "Bernie Sanders Wins Colorado Democratic Caucus". The Huffington Post. Retrieved 2016-08-07.
  10. ^ "Bernie Sanders wins Colorado with big showing at state convention – The Denver Post". Retrieved 2016-08-07.