2016 New Jersey Democratic primary

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New Jersey Democratic primary, 2016

← 2008 June 7, 2016 (2016-06-07) 2020 →
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 79 47
Popular vote 566,247[1] 328,058
Percentage 63.32% 36.68%

New Jersey Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 New Jersey Democratic primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of New Jersey as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in California, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own New Jersey primary. Additionally, the Democratic Party held North Dakota caucuses the same day.

Opinion polling[edit]

Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Official Primary results June 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton
63.3%
Bernie Sanders
36.7%
CBS/YouGov[2]

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 586

May 31 –
June 3, 2016
Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
34%
Others / Undecided
5%
American Research Group[3]

Margin of error: ± -%
Sample size: 400

May 31 –
June 2, 2016
Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
37%
Others / Undecided
3%
Quinnipiac[4]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 696

May 10-16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
54%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
6%
Monmouth University[5]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 301

May 1-3, 2016 Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided
8%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll[6]

Margin of error: ± 6.3%
Sample Size: 292

April 1-8, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
42%
Others / Undecided
7%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll[7]

Margin of error: ± 6.2%
Sample Size: 304

February 6–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided
13%
Polls in 2015
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll[8]

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample Size: 304

November 30 – December 6, 2015 Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
19%
Martin O'Malley 1% Other 3%, Don't know 17%
Farleigh Dickenson University[9]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample Size: 830

November 9–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
64%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Martin O'Malley 2% DK/Refused 3%, Wouldn't Vote 3%, Other 1%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll[10]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 367

October 3–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton
49%
Bernie Sanders
19%
Joe Biden
10%
Other 3%, Don't know 20%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[11]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 345

June 15–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
63%
Bernie Sanders
15%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, DK/Refused 14%
Fairleigh Dickinson University

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 323

April 13–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton
62%
Another Democratic candidate 9%, Don't know 27%, Refused 1%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 539

April 9–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton
63%
Elizabeth Warren
12%
Joe Biden
10%
Bernie Sanders 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 7%
Joe Biden
36%
Elizabeth Warren
28%
Bernie Sanders
6%
Martin O'Malley 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Don't know 21%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

January 15–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton
65%
Elizabeth Warren
11%
Joe Biden
7%
Bernie Sanders 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 11%
Polls in 2014
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Rutgers-Eagleton

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 280

December 3–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton
54%
Elizabeth Warren
6%
Cory Booker
2%
Joe Biden 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 3%, Don't know 34%
Rutgers-Eagleton

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 331

July 28 – August 5, 2014 Hillary Clinton
59%
Joe Biden
3%
Elizabeth Warren
3%
Cory Booker 2%, Other 4%, Don't know 30%
Polls in 2013
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Fairleigh Dickinson University

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 337

August 21–27, 2013 Hillary Clinton
63%
Joe Biden
10%
Andrew Cuomo
6%
Elizabeth Warren 4%, Other 4%, Undecided 13%
Kean University

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 420

April 25–29, 2013 Hillary Clinton
67%
Joe Biden
13%
Andrew Cuomo
8%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Other 4%, Undecided 6%

Results[edit]

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 566,247 63.32% 79 12 91
Bernie Sanders 328,058 36.68% 47 2 49
Uncommitted N/A 0 0 0
Total 894,305 100% 126 16 142
Source: The Green Papers, New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State

Results by county[edit]

Hillary Clinton won every county except for Sussex and Warren.

County[12] Clinton % Sanders % Totals Turnout Margin
Atlantic 13,556 60.62% 8,805 39.38% 22,361
Bergen 57,319 63.47% 32,994 36.53% 90,313
Burlington 33,166 63.02% 19,461 36.98% 52,627
Camden 44,400 62.27% 26,905 37.73% 71,305
Cape May 3,969 54.83% 3,269 45.17% 7,238
Cumberland 6,894 64.18% 3,847 35.82% 10,741
Essex 77,836 73.07% 28,679 26.93% 105,915
Gloucester 18,011 56.12% 14,082 43.88% 32,093
Hudson 50,875 66.34% 25,815 33.66% 76,690
Hunterdon 5,794 51.93% 5,362 48.07% 11,156
Mercer 29,650 66.00% 15,276 34.00% 44,926
Middlesex 48,202 61.01% 30,800 38.99% 79,002
Monmouth 30,967 58.07% 22,360 41.93% 53,327
Morris 24,285 58.32% 17,355 41.68% 41,640
Ocean 19,663 54.49% 16,424 45.51% 36,087
Passaic 29,997 67.63% 14,356 32.37% 44,353
Salem 2,821 56.46% 2,175 43.54% 4,996
Somerset 19,838 61.56% 12,385 38.44% 32,223
Sussex 3,986 42.91% 5,303 57.09% 9,289
Union 41,605 68.82% 18,853 31.18% 60,458
Warren 3,413 49.00% 3,552 51.00% 6,965
Total 566,247 63.32% 328,058 36.68% 894,305

Analysis[edit]

With its coalition of African Americans, Hispanic/Latinos, and college-educated, affluent Caucasian progressive/liberal professionals, New Jersey was seen as a state Clinton would win in the final batch of primaries on June 7. Having won the state eight years earlier against Barack Obama, Clinton managed a 26-point-routing against Bernie Sanders in 2016 despite the Sanders campaign's efforts in the state. She carried all counties in the Garden State but two, winning large victories in the cities of Newark, Trenton, and Atlantic City.

References[edit]

  1. ^ New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State
  2. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Jersey". CBS. Retrieved June 6, 2016.
  3. ^ "New Jersey 2016 Primary Forecasts". ARG. Retrieved June 7, 2016.
  4. ^ "IT'S BLUE JERSEY AS CLINTON OR SANDERS TOP TRUMP, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON TOPS SANDERS AMONG DEMOCRATS" (PDF). Quinnipiac. Retrieved May 19, 2016.
  5. ^ "NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS HUGE PRIMARY EDGE" (PDF). Monmouth. Retrieved May 4, 2016.
  6. ^ "OVER HALF OF NJ REPUBLICANS CHOOSE TRUMP; CLINTON STILL LEADS BUT LOSING GROUND AGAINST SANDERS". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-04-18.
  7. ^ "TRUMP, CLINTON CONTINUE TO HOLD COMMANDING LEADS IN NEW JERSEY; RUBIO A DISTANT SECOND IN GOP RACE". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-02-24.
  8. ^ "CHRISTIE'S JOB APPROVAL HITS NEW LOW, RATINGS ACROSS THE BOARD CONTINUE TO SLIP; TRUMP STILL LEADS 2016 GOP FIELD IN NEW JERSEY, CHRISTIE RECLAIMS SECOND". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-02-25.
  9. ^ "151117". View2.fdu.edu. 2015-11-17. Retrieved 2016-01-23.
  10. ^ "Trump Still Leads Gop Field In New Jersey, Christie Falls Well Behind; Voters To Christie: End Campaign | Center For Public Interest Polling". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. 2015-10-15. Retrieved 2016-01-23.
  11. ^ "2016 Candidates Polarize NJ Voters :: Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll". Publicmind.fdu.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  12. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.