2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

← 2014 November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08) 2018 →

Both New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 1 1
Seats won 2 0
Seat change 1 Increase 1 Decrease
Popular vote 336,575 316,149
Percentage 46.96% 44.11%
Swing Decrease4.50% Decrease4.27%

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the two U.S. Representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on September 13.

District 1[edit]

The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent is Republican Frank Guinta, who has represented the district since 2015 and previously from 2011 to 2013. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2014, defeating Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter, and the district has a PVI of R+1.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
  • Shawn O'Connor, businessman[1][2]
  • Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative who held the seat from 2007 to 2011, and again from 2013 to 2015[3]
Potential[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carol Shea-Porter 32,409 98.8
Democratic Write-ins 386 1.2
Total votes 32,795 100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Richard Ashooh

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Guinta (incumbent) 26,400 46.5
Republican Richard Ashooh 25,678 45.2
Republican Michael Callis 2,243 4.0
Republican Robert Risley 1,347 2.4
Republican Jamieson Gradert 1,031 1.8
Republican Write-ins 111 0.1
Total votes 56,810 100.0

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Frank
Guinta (R)
Carol
Shea-Porter (D)
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov October 17–21, 2016 380 37% 41% 3% 10%
University of New Hampshire August 20–28, 2016 211 ± 6.7% 29% 48% 5% 19%
University of New Hampshire July 9–18, 2016 215 ± 6.7% 37% 43% 7% 10%

Results[edit]

New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2016 [10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carol Shea-Porter 162,080 44.3
Republican Frank Guinta (incumbent) 157,176 42.9
Independent Shawn O' Connor 34,735 9.5
Independent Brendan Kelly 6,074 1.7
Libertarian Robert Lombardo 5,507 1.5
n/a Write-ins 412 0.1
Total votes 365,984 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 2[edit]

The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent is Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who has represented the district since 2013. She was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2014, and the district has a PVI of D+3.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]
Potential[edit]
Declined[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) 36,683 99.3
Republican Write-ins 249 0.7
Total votes 36,932 100

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Potential[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Jim Lawrence

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Lawrence 17,180 39.7
Republican Jack B. Flanagan 12,046 27.8
Republican Walter W. Kelly 4,287 9.9
Republican Andy Martin 3,145 7.3
Republican Eric Estevez 2,443 5.6
Republican Jay Mercer 2,113 4.9
Republican Casey Newell 1,839 4.3
Republican Write-ins 232 0.5
Total votes 43,285 100.0

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ann McLane
Kuster (D)
Jim
Lawrence (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 20–28, 2016 222 ± 6.6% 40% 34% 3% 22%
University of New Hampshire July 9–18, 2016 254 ± 6.1% 38% 32% 4% 26%

Results[edit]

New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2016 [10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) 174,495 49.7
Republican Jim Lawrence 158,973 45.3
Independent John Babiarz 17,088 4.9
n/a Write-ins 236 0.1
Total votes 350,792 100.0
Democratic hold

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q John DiStaso (November 14, 2014). "Analysis: NH Democrats already have deep bench for top races in 2016". New Hampshire Journal. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  2. ^ DiStaso, John (February 10, 2015). "Democratic political newcomer O'Connor files candidacy for 1st District U.S. House seat". NH Journal. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  3. ^ DiStaso, John. "Shea-Porter announces she's running for US House again in 2016". WMUR.com. Manchester Hearst Properties Inc. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  4. ^ a b Alexis Levinson (December 30, 2014). "10 Races to Watch in 2016: New Hampshire's 1st District". Roll Call. Retrieved December 30, 2014.
  5. ^ a b c d "2016 Primary Election Official Results". New Hampshire Secretary of State. September 13, 2016. Retrieved November 30, 2016.
  6. ^ http://www.nhinsider.com/press-releases/2016/2/18/pam-tucker-announces-run-for-nh-01.html
  7. ^ DiStaso, John (March 25, 2016). "Innis suspends congressional campaign, says family, business interests come first". WMUR. Retrieved 25 March 2016.
  8. ^ "BRADLEY ENDORSES GATSAS; JOHN E. SUNUNU SUPPORTS ASHOOH". The Conway Daily Sun. September 6, 2016.
  9. ^ "Ashooh for Congress: Raising the bar in District 1". New Hampshire Union Leader. August 31, 2016.
  10. ^ a b "2016 General Election Information and Results". New Hampshire Secretary of State Elections Division. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 30, 2016.
  11. ^ Landrigan, Kevin (22 October 2015). "Landrigan: Top NH House Republican explores bid for 2nd District Congressman". Retrieved 23 October 2015.
  12. ^ "Lawrence for Congress: Best choice to challenge Kuster". New Hampshire Union Leader. August 31, 2016.

External links[edit]