2016 United States presidential election in Georgia

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2016 United States presidential election in Georgia

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout76.53% Increase
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 16 0
Popular vote 2,089,104 1,877,963
Percentage 50.44% 45.35%

Georgia Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus Washington, D.C. participated. Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting Republican Party nominee Donald Trump against Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Georgia voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican respective presidential nominees for president. Trump won the Georgia Republican primary by a wide margin, and Clinton captured an easy victory in the Georgia Democratic primary. The Green Party presidential primary happened on June 4.

In the general election, Republican nominee Donald Trump won Georgia by 5.1%, a lower margin compared to Mitt Romney's 7.82% in 2012, but also from John McCain's 5.20% in 2008. Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton received 45.35% of the vote, making this a state where she performed slightly worse than Barack Obama's 45.83% in 2012.[1] Nevertheless, Trump's reduced margin of victory also made Georgia one of eleven states (plus the District of Columbia) to vote more Democratic in 2016 than in 2012.[2] The Atlanta metropolitan area shifted strongly Democratic compared to the previous presidential election, with Hillary Clinton being the first Democrat to win Henry County since 1980, and the first Democrat to win Gwinnett County and Cobb County since 1976, when Georgia native Jimmy Carter won all of the state's counties. The state of Georgia has been won by the Republican nominee in every election since 1996.

Background[edit]

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[3][4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[6][7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for Barack Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[8]

Following his second term, President Obama was not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[9] With Obama and Biden's terms expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate was asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

Results of the Democratic primary by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Four candidates appeared on the ballot:


e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Georgia
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 545,674 71.30% 73 11 84
Bernie Sanders 215,797 28.20% 29 0 29
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,129 0.28%
Michael Steinberg 1,766 0.23%
Uncommitted N/A 0 4 4
Total 765,366 100% 102 15 117
Source: The Green Papers

Republican primary[edit]

2016 Georgia Republican primary

← 2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Marco Rubio, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg Ted Cruz, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped 2).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz
Home state New York Florida Texas
Delegate count 42 16 18

  Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction.jpg Governor John Kasich.jpg
Candidate Ben Carson John Kasich
Home state Maryland Ohio
Delegate count 0 0

Georgia Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Georgia results by county
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio

The 76 Republican delegates from Georgia were allocated in this way. There were 42 delegates allocated by congressional district; if a candidate received a majority of votes or they were the only candidate to receive at least 20% of the vote in a congressional district, they would receive the districts 3 delegates. If not, the candidate who won the plurality of the vote in a congressional district would receive 2 delegates and the second-place finisher in the district would receive 1 delegate. There were also 34 at-large delegates; if a candidate got a majority of the vote or they were the only candidate to get the mandatory threshold to receive any delegates (begins at 20%, if no one gets at least 20%, then 15%, if no one gets 15%, then 10%), they would get all of the state's at-large delegates. If not, the delegates would be allocated proportionally among the candidates receiving at least the mandatory threshold.[10]

Georgia Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump 502,994 38.81% 42 0 42
Marco Rubio 316,836 24.45% 16 0 16
Ted Cruz 305,847 23.60% 18 0 18
Ben Carson 80,723 6.23% 0 0 0
John Kasich 72,508 5.59% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 7,686 0.59% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 2,910 0.22% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,625 0.20% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,486 0.11% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 1,146 0.09% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 539 0.04% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 428 0.03% 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 236 0.02% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 1,295,964 100.00% 76 0 76
Source: The Green Papers

Green convention[edit]

On June 4, the Georgia Green Party held its state convention and presidential preference vote.[11]

Georgia Green Party Convention, June 4, 2016.
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein - - 3
William Kreml - - 1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Total - - 4

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

  1. ABC News: Tossup[12]
  2. CNN: Leans Trump[13]
  3. Cook Political Report: Leans Trump[14]
  4. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Trump[15]
  5. Los Angeles Times: Leans Trump[16]
  6. NBC: Tossup[17]
  7. RealClearPolitics: Tossup[18]
  8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Trump[19]

Polling[edit]

Statewide results[edit]

2016 United States presidential election in Georgia
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 2,089,104 50.44% 16
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 1,877,963 45.35% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 125,306 3.03% 0
Independent (write-in votes) Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson 13,017 0.31% 0
Others / Write-In Votes
-
-
36,057 0.87% 0
Totals 4,141,447 100.00% 16
Source: David Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

By county[edit]

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Appling 20.47% 1,434 78.43% 5,494 1.10% 77 7,005
Atkinson 26.70% 697 71.95% 1,878 1.34% 35 2,610
Bacon 15.13% 608 83.70% 3,364 1.17% 47 4,019
Baker 45.14% 650 53.82% 775 1.04% 15 1,440
Baldwin 49.55% 7,970 47.85% 7,697 2.60% 419 16,086
Banks 09.84% 684 88.26% 6,134 1.90% 132 6,950
Barrow 22.82% 6,580 73.21% 21,108 3.96% 1,143 28,831
Bartow 20.89% 8,212 76.10% 29,911 3.01% 1,183 39,306
Ben Hill 35.42% 2,101 63.04% 3,739 1.53% 91 5,931
Berrien 15.90% 1,047 82.35% 5,422 1.75% 115 6,584
Bibb 59.07% 36,787 38.61% 24,043 2.32% 1,447 62,277
Bleckley 22.27% 1,101 75.24% 3,719 2.49% 123 4,943
Brantley 09.84% 619 88.48% 5,567 1.68% 106 6,292
Brooks 40.01% 2,528 58.58% 3,701 1.41% 89 6,318
Bryan 26.61% 4,014 69.80% 10,529 3.59% 542 15,085
Bulloch 36.68% 9,261 59.79% 15,097 3.53% 890 25,248
Burke 50.59% 4,731 48.03% 4,491 1.38% 129 9,351
Butts 27.08% 2,566 70.88% 6,717 2.05% 194 9,477
Calhoun 58.22% 1,179 40.99% 830 0.79% 16 2,025
Camden 31.43% 5,930 65.24% 12,310 3.33% 629 18,869
Candler 27.27% 1,026 70.79% 2,664 1.94% 73 3,763
Carroll 28.43% 12,464 68.50% 30,029 3.07% 1,346 43,839
Catoosa 17.98% 4,771 78.69% 20,876 3.32% 881 26,528
Charlton 25.04% 1,004 73.61% 2,951 1.35% 54 4,009
Chatham 55.87% 62,290 40.98% 45,688 3.14% 3,503 111,481
Chattahoochee 42.73% 594 54.03% 751 3.24% 45 1,390
Chattooga 19.55% 1,613 78.31% 6,462 2.14% 177 8,252
Cherokee 22.75% 25,231 72.73% 80,649 4.52% 5,015 110,895
Clarke 66.77% 29,603 28.68% 12,717 4.55% 2,019 44,339
Clay 54.84% 697 44.53% 566 0.63% 8 1,271
Clayton 84.55% 78,220 13.67% 12,645 1.78% 1,647 92,512
Clinch 28.03% 686 70.58% 1,727 1.39% 34 2,447
Cobb 48.89% 160,121 46.69% 152,912 4.42% 14,466 327,499
Coffee 29.42% 4,094 68.90% 9,588 1.67% 233 13,915
Colquitt 25.46% 3,463 72.77% 9,898 1.76% 240 13,601
Columbia 29.40% 18,887 67.07% 43,085 3.53% 2,270 64,242
Cook 29.02% 1,753 69.13% 4,176 1.85% 112 6,041
Coweta 27.03% 16,583 69.33% 42,533 3.64% 2,235 61,351
Crawford 27.53% 1,421 70.42% 3,635 2.05% 106 5,162
Crisp 37.77% 2,837 60.56% 4,549 1.68% 126 7,512
Dade 15.46% 965 80.92% 5,051 3.62% 226 6,242
Dawson 12.37% 1,448 84.59% 9,900 3.04% 356 11,704
Decatur 40.16% 4,124 58.62% 6,020 1.23% 126 10,270
DeKalb 80.44% 251,370 16.47% 51,468 3.09% 9,666 312,504
Dodge 26.28% 1,839 71.75% 5,021 1.97% 138 6,998
Dooly 48.51% 1,872 50.56% 1,951 0.93% 36 3,859
Dougherty 68.53% 23,311 30.08% 10,232 1.40% 475 34,018
Douglas 54.00% 31,005 43.22% 24,817 2.78% 1,594 57,416
Early 45.31% 2,168 53.33% 2,552 1.36% 65 4,785
Echols 13.27% 156 85.63% 1,007 1.11% 13 1,176
Effingham 20.73% 4,853 76.37% 17,874 2.90% 679 23,406
Elbert 31.86% 2,539 66.40% 5,292 1.74% 139 7,970
Emanuel 31.04% 2,435 68.01% 5,335 0.96% 75 7,845
Evans 31.37% 1,130 66.74% 2,404 1.89% 68 3,602
Fannin 16.33% 1,923 81.79% 9,632 1.89% 222 11,777
Fayette 38.53% 23,284 57.99% 35,048 3.48% 2,103 60,435
Floyd 26.66% 9,159 70.19% 24,114 3.16% 1,084 34,357
Forsyth 24.09% 23,462 71.71% 69,851 4.20% 4,091 97,404
Franklin 14.67% 1,243 83.24% 7,054 2.09% 177 8,474
Fulton 68.99% 297,051 27.35% 117,783 3.66% 15,765 430,599
Gilmer 15.43% 1,965 82.27% 10,477 2.30% 293 12,735
Glascock 9.93% 138 88.85% 1,235 1.22% 17 1,390
Glynn 34.52% 11,775 63.06% 21,512 2.42% 825 34,112
Gordon 16.85% 3,181 80.47% 15,191 2.69% 507 18,879
Grady 32.75% 3,013 65.79% 6,053 1.47% 135 9,201
Greene 36.19% 3,199 62.10% 5,490 1.71% 151 8,840
Gwinnett 51.02% 166,153 45.14% 146,989 3.84% 12,494 325,636
Habersham 15.39% 2,483 81.75% 13,190 2.86% 461 16,134
Hall 23.04% 16,180 73.67% 51,733 3.29% 2,307 70,220
Hancock 75.45% 2,701 23.55% 843 1.01% 36 3,580
Haralson 13.03% 1,475 84.64% 9,585 2.33% 264 11,324
Harris 24.91% 4,086 72.78% 11,936 2.31% 379 16,401
Hart 25.64% 2,585 72.28% 7,286 2.07% 209 10,080
Heard 17.67% 743 80.12% 3,370 2.21% 93 4,206
Henry 50.93% 50,057 46.52% 45,724 2.55% 2,505 98,286
Houston 37.75% 22,553 59.30% 35,430 2.95% 1,761 59,744
Irwin 24.31% 891 74.11% 2,716 1.58% 58 3,665
Jackson 16.57% 4,491 80.36% 21,784 3.08% 834 27,109
Jasper 25.64% 1,544 72.39% 4,360 1.98% 119 6,023
Jeff Davis 17.70% 901 80.61% 4,104 1.69% 86 5,091
Jefferson 54.95% 3,821 44.05% 3,063 1.01% 70 6,954
Jenkins 36.80% 1,123 62.09% 1,895 1.11% 34 3,052
Johnson 30.85% 1,136 68.41% 2,519 0.73% 27 3,682
Jones 31.62% 3,961 66.30% 8,305 2.08% 260 12,526
Lamar 29.92% 2,270 68.42% 5,190 1.66% 126 7,586
Lanier 28.15% 806 69.30% 1,984 2.55% 73 2,863
Laurens 34.67% 6,752 63.72% 12,411 1.61% 313 19,476
Lee 22.46% 3,170 75.42% 10,646 2.12% 299 14,115
Liberty 59.29% 9,556 38.06% 6,134 2.65% 427 16,117
Lincoln 31.03% 1,273 67.26% 2,759 1.71% 70 4,102
Long 33.03% 1,360 63.78% 2,626 3.18% 131 4,117
Lowndes 40.03% 15,064 57.50% 21,635 2.47% 929 37,628
Lumpkin 18.00% 2,220 77.99% 9,619 4.01% 495 12,334
Macon 63.10% 2,705 35.92% 1,540 0.98% 42 4,287
Madison 20.29% 2,425 76.97% 9,201 2.74% 328 11,954
Marion 38.11% 1,213 60.35% 1,921 1.54% 49 3,183
McDuffie 39.91% 3,699 58.61% 5,432 1.48% 137 9,268
McIntosh 39.01% 2,303 59.07% 3,487 1.91% 113 5,903
Meriwether 41.39% 3,804 56.82% 5,222 1.80% 165 9,191
Miller 24.49% 623 74.33% 1,891 1.18% 30 2,544
Mitchell 44.41% 3,493 54.41% 4,279 1.18% 93 7,865
Monroe 28.15% 3,571 69.61% 8,832 2.24% 284 12,687
Montgomery 23.78% 847 74.96% 2,670 1.26% 45 3,562
Morgan 28.21% 2,663 69.48% 6,559 2.31% 218 9,440
Murray 14.49% 1,800 83.23% 10,341 2.28% 283 12,424
Muscogee 58.04% 39,851 39.29% 26,976 2.67% 1,831 68,658
Newton 50.09% 21,943 47.74% 20,913 2.16% 947 43,803
Oconee 28.00% 5,581 67.36% 13,425 4.64% 925 19,931
Oglethorpe 27.51% 1,831 69.50% 4,625 2.99% 199 6,655
Paulding 27.88% 18,025 69.09% 44,662 3.02% 1,954 64,641
Peach 47.56% 5,100 50.48% 5,413 1.97% 211 10,724
Pickens 14.15% 1,979 83.32% 11,651 2.53% 354 13,984
Pierce 12.37% 903 86.35% 6,302 1.27% 93 7,298
Pike 14.28% 1,240 83.84% 7,278 1.88% 163 8,681
Polk 20.23% 2,867 77.73% 11,014 2.04% 289 14,170
Pulaski 30.68% 1,104 67.71% 2,437 1.61% 58 3,599
Putnam 29.12% 2,758 69.09% 6,544 1.79% 170 9,472
Quitman 44.16% 461 55.08% 575 0.77% 8 1,044
Rabun 18.16% 1,444 79.08% 6,287 2.75% 219 7,950
Randolph 55.16% 1,598 43.87% 1,271 0.97% 28 2,897
Richmond 65.01% 48,814 32.58% 24,461 2.41% 1,811 75,086
Rockdale 61.76% 23,255 35.79% 13,478 2.45% 923 37,656
Schley 21.01% 401 77.11% 1,472 1.89% 36 1,909
Screven 40.36% 2,300 57.99% 3,305 1.65% 94 5,699
Seminole 33.19% 1,189 65.47% 2,345 1.34% 48 3,582
Spalding 36.55% 9,357 61.12% 15,646 2.33% 597 25,600
Stephens 18.81% 1,837 78.70% 7,686 2.49% 243 9,766
Stewart 59.46% 1,222 39.17% 805 1.36% 28 2,055
Sumter 50.30% 5,520 48.08% 5,276 1.62% 178 10,974
Talbot 61.71% 2,002 36.87% 1,196 1.42% 46 3,244
Taliaferro 60.76% 545 38.91% 349 0.33% 3 897
Tattnall 24.41% 1,681 74.01% 5,096 1.58% 109 6,886
Taylor 38.06% 1,296 60.62% 2,064 1.32% 45 3,405
Telfair 34.60% 1,313 64.56% 2,450 0.84% 32 3,795
Terrell 54.22% 2,267 44.82% 1,874 0.96% 40 4,181
Thomas 38.12% 7,142 59.92% 11,228 1.96% 368 18,738
Tift 30.67% 4,347 67.61% 9,584 1.72% 244 14,175
Toombs 25.66% 2,338 72.60% 6,615 1.73% 158 9,111
Towns 17.96% 1,210 79.88% 5,383 2.17% 146 6,739
Treutlen 31.89% 862 66.93% 1,809 1.18% 32 2,703
Troup 37.32% 9,713 60.52% 15,750 2.16% 561 26,024
Turner 36.71% 1,246 61.73% 2,095 1.56% 53 3,394
Twiggs 48.59% 1,971 50.17% 2,035 1.23% 50 4,056
Union 16.30% 1,963 81.80% 9,852 1.90% 229 12,044
Upson 31.78% 3,475 66.69% 7,292 1.53% 167 10,934
Walker 17.59% 4,215 79.10% 18,950 3.30% 791 23,956
Walton 20.49% 8,292 76.91% 31,125 2.61% 1,055 40,472
Ware 28.29% 3,440 70.01% 8,513 1.69% 206 12,159
Warren 56.32% 1,314 42.48% 991 1.20% 28 2,333
Washington 49.72% 4,200 49.12% 4,149 1.16% 98 8,447
Wayne 19.65% 2,041 78.50% 8,153 1.85% 192 10,386
Webster 42.38% 473 56.45% 630 1.16% 13 1,116
Wheeler 30.73% 646 67.60% 1,421 1.67% 35 2,102
White 14.21% 1,674 82.84% 9,761 2.95% 348 11,783
Whitfield 26.11% 7,937 70.85% 21,537 3.04% 924 30,398
Wilcox 28.66% 852 70.50% 2,096 0.84% 25 2,973
Wilkes 41.28% 1,848 57.45% 2,572 1.27% 57 4,477
Wilkinson 44.27% 1,894 54.53% 2,333 1.19% 51 4,278
Worth 24.40% 2,020 74.30% 6,152 1.30% 108 8,280

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won 10 of 14 congressional districts.[20]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 56% 41% Buddy Carter
2nd 43% 55% Sanford Bishop
3rd 64% 33% Lynn Westmoreland
Drew Ferguson
4th 22% 75% Hank Johnson
5th 12% 85% John Lewis
6th 48% 47% Tom Price
7th 51% 45% Rob Woodall
8th 63% 34% Austin Scott
9th 78% 19% Doug Collins
10th 61% 36% Jody Hice
11th 60% 35% Barry Loudermilk
12th 57% 41% Rick W. Allen
13th 27% 71% David Scott
14th 75% 22% Tom Graves

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican[edit]

Counties that swung from Republican to Democratic[edit]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Georgia Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  2. ^ "2016 Presidential General Election Data - National". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections. Retrieved May 11, 2019.
  3. ^ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Archived from the original on 2012-04-02. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
  4. ^ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  5. ^ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  6. ^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
  7. ^ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  8. ^ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  9. ^ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
  10. ^ "Georgia Republican Delegation 2016". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2017-02-25.
  11. ^ "An Open Letter to Greens in Georgia: Ballot Access can be had in 2016". Georgia Green Party. April 16, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.[permanent dead link]
  12. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". ABC News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  13. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  14. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  15. ^ "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  16. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  17. ^ Todd, Chuck (November 7, 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  18. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  19. ^ Sabato, Larry (November 7, 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  20. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project". www.swingstateproject.com. Retrieved April 6, 2018.

External links[edit]