2018 Vermont gubernatorial election

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Vermont gubernatorial election, 2018

← 2016 November 6, 2018 2020 →
  Phil Scott 2017 (cropped).jpg Christine Hallquist (cropped).jpg
Nominee Phil Scott Christine Hallquist
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 151,261 110,335
Percentage 54.4% 39.7%

Vermont Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County results

Scott:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Hallquist:      50–60%

Governor before election

Phil Scott
Republican

Elected Governor

Phil Scott
Republican

The 2018 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Vermont, concurrently with the election of Vermont's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott, who was first elected in 2016, was re-elected to a second term in office.[1]

Background[edit]

Along with New Hampshire, Vermont is one of only two states where governors are elected to two-year terms. Republican Phil Scott was elected in the 2016 election.[1]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • Keith Stern, businessman[2]

Endorsements[edit]

Debates and forums[edit]

Results[edit]

Results by county:
  Scott—70–80%
  Scott—60–70%
  Scott—50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Phil Scott (incumbent) 24,042 65.4
Republican Keith Stern 11,617 31.6
Republican Blank votes 700 1.9
Republican Write-ins 401 1.1
Republican Overvotes 20 0.0
Total votes 36,780 100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • James Ehlers, executive director of Lake Champlain International and environmentalist[5]
  • John S. Rodgers, current State Senator from Essex County, former State Representative, and construction business owner[6] (write-in candidate)
  • Brenda Siegel, opioid epidemic and Brattleboro hurricane relief activist and worker, former community organizer for Bernie Sanders, southern Vermont nonprofit executive and founding director[7] (also ran in Progressive primary)
  • Ethan Sonneborn, freshman in high school[8] who began his campaign when he was 13 years old.[9] The election was held a few weeks before he entered his freshman year of high school.[10] His campaign was focused on healthcare for all, the environment, economy, and education.[11] Had he won, he would have been the youngest governor in American history.[11] Vermont (as well as Kansas) does not have a minimum age requirement for governor.

Endorsements[edit]

James Ehlers
Organizations
  • AFL-CIO
People
Brenda Siegel
Statewide and local politicians
  • Mike Mrowicki, state representative[12]
  • Tommy Walz, state representative[13]
Businesses
  • Vermont Green Grow Wellness Center
Organizations
  • Emerge Vermont
  • SolutionsToWork
People
  • Mark Hughes, executive director of Justice for All, organizer of Poor Peoples Campaign VT[14]

Debates and forums[edit]

Results[edit]

Results by county:
  Hallquist—60–70%
  Hallquist—50–60%
  Hallquist—40–50%
  Hallquist—<40%
  Siegel—40–50%
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Christine Hallquist 27,622 39.8
Democratic James Ehlers 12,668 18.3
Democratic Brenda Siegel 12,260 17.7
Democratic Blank votes 7,997 11.5
Democratic Ethan Sonneborn 4,696 6.8
Democratic Write-ins (other) 3,074 4.4
Democratic John S. Rodgers (write-in) 950 1.4
Democratic Overvotes 68 0.1
Total votes 69,344 100.0

With this result, Christine Hallquist became the first openly transgender candidate for governor nominated by a major political party in the United States.[16]

Progressive primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Write-in[edit]
  • Brenda Siegel (also ran in Democratic primary)

Endorsements[edit]

Brenda Siegel
Statewide and local politicians
  • Mike Mrowicki, State Representative
  • Tommy Walz, State Representative
Businesses
  • Vermont Green Grow Wellness Center
Organizations
  • Emerge Vermont
  • SolutionsToWork
People
  • Mark Hughes, executive director of Justice for All, organizer of Poor Peoples Campaign VT

Debates and forums[edit]

Results[edit]

Vermont Progressive Party primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Write-ins 365 60.8
Progressive Blank votes 199 33.2
Progressive Brenda Siegel (write-in) 35 6.0
Total votes 599 100.0

Libertarian nomination[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Liberty Union nomination[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Emily Peyton, candidate for governor in 2014[19]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Write-in[edit]
  • Tarl Warwick, author, editor, translator, blogger, internet personality, and video producer on YouTube[23][24]

Withdrawn[edit]

General election[edit]

Debates[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
FiveThirtyEight[26] Solid R November 5, 2018
The Washington Post[27] Likely R November 5, 2018
Politico[28] Lean R November 5, 2018
Fox News[29][a] Likely R November 5, 2018
Governing[30] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R November 5, 2018
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R October 26, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[33] Safe R November 1, 2018
Real Clear Politics[34] Likely R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[35] Safe R November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements[edit]

Christine Hallquist (D)
US Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
US Senators
US Representatives
Statewide and local politicians
  • Martin O'Malley, former Governor of Maryland[40]
  • Claire Ayer, state senator[41]
  • Chris Bray, state senator[41]
  • Joey Donovan, state representative[41]
  • Alice Emmons, state representative[41]
  • Helen Head, state representative[41]
  • Matt Hill, state representative[41]
  • Warren Kitzmiller, state representative[41]
  • Gabe Lucke, state representative[41]
  • Curt McCormack, state representative[41]
  • Dick McCormack, state senator[41]
  • Mary Sullivan, state representative[41]
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Phil Scott (R)
Statewide and local politicians
Organizations
Declined to endorse

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Phil
Scott (R)
Christine
Hallquist (D)
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2018 885 ± 3.3% 49% 39% 12%
Braun Research October 5–14, 2018 495 ± 4.4% 42% 28% 7%[52] 22%
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) September 23–26, 2018 406 ± 4.9% 50% 42%

Results[edit]

Vermont gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Phil Scott (incumbent) 151,261 55.19% +2.28%
Democratic Christine Hallquist 110,335 40.25% -3.91%
Independent Trevor Barlow 3,266 1.19% N/A
Independent Charles Laramie 2,287 0.83% N/A
Marijuana Cris Ericson 2,129 0.78% N/A
Earth Rights Stephen Marx 1,855 0.68% N/A
Liberty Union Emily Peyton 1,839 0.66% -2.17%
Write-in Total Write-ins 1,115 0.41% -0.31%
Total votes 274,087 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c Hallenbeck, Terri; Heintz, Paul (November 9, 2016). "Republican Phil Scott Elected Governor of Vermont". Seven Days. Retrieved November 27, 2016.
  2. ^ Bradley, Pat. "Vermont Gubernatorial Candidate Keith Stern Discusses His Campaign". Retrieved 2018-04-09.
  3. ^ Evans, Brad (February 19, 2018). "Transgender woman to run for governor of Vermont". WPTZ.
  4. ^ Trotta, Daniel. "In first, transgender woman wins Democratic nomination for Vermont..." reuters.com.
  5. ^ Hirschfeld, Peter. "Water Quality Advocate James Ehlers To Run For Governor, As Democrat". Retrieved 2017-08-03.
  6. ^ "YCN Vermont Wrap with Keith Hanson 6/16/18". YCN Now. 2018-06-16. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
  7. ^ Walters, John (May 8, 2018). "Walters: Anti-Poverty Advocate Launches Bid for Vermont Governor". Seven Days.
  8. ^ "Thirteen-year-old runs for Governor of Vermont". Burlington Free Press. August 24, 2017. Retrieved August 31, 2017.
  9. ^ McCullum, April (August 8, 2018). "Meet the 14-year-old running for Vermont governor". Burlington Free Press. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  10. ^ Robinson, Adia (August 14, 2018). "14-year-old is running to be Vermont's next governor". ABC News. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  11. ^ a b Luz Henning Santiago, Amanda (August 14, 2018). "The website for Vermont's 14-year-old gubernatorial candidate has convinced me he's fit for the job". Mashable. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  12. ^ "Letter: Mrowicki supports Siegel". reformer.com.
  13. ^ "Brenda Siegel for Vermont". www.facebook.com.
  14. ^ "Mark A. Hughes". www.facebook.com.
  15. ^ ":: Vermont Election Night Results ::". vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us.
  16. ^ News, A. B. C. (15 August 2018). "Transgender candidate makes history with win in Vermont governor primary". ABC News.
  17. ^ ":: Vermont Election Night Results ::". vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us.
  18. ^ "2018 Vermont Libertarian Party Convention Summary". 2018-05-03.
  19. ^ a b https://www.sec.state.vt.us/media/914034/2018-general-election-candidate-listing.xlsx
  20. ^ name=https://www.trevor4vt.com
  21. ^ https://www.laramieforvtgov.com/about
  22. ^ "Candidates - Elections - Vermont Secretary of State". www.sec.state.vt.us.
  23. ^ "YouTube Star Styxhexenhammer - aka Tarl Warwick - Running for Vermont Governor". thegoldwater.com.
  24. ^ Ourania (12 April 2018). "Popular YouTuber Tarl Warwick (Styxhexenhammer666) Announces Write-In Candidacy for the Vermont…". medium.com.
  25. ^ "Barney joins Vermont governor's race as independent". burlingtonfreepress.com.
  26. ^ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  27. ^ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
  28. ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
  29. ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
  30. ^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
  31. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2018-09-20.
  32. ^ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018-09-20.
  33. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2018-09-14.
  34. ^ "2018 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. August 9, 2018.
  35. ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  36. ^ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote:". Twitter.
  37. ^ https://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/10/01/vt-insights-hallquist-approved-obama-biden-warren-and-sanders/1336779002
  38. ^ https://www.wcax.com/content/news/Vice-President-Joe-Biden-endorses-Christine-Hallquist-493933461.html
  39. ^ a b c d e f https://www.christineforvermont.com/supporters/
  40. ^ Martin O'Malley. "Proud to support @christineforvt, a leader in green energy and health care for the state of Vermont". Twitter.
  41. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Christine Hallquist - Posts". July 23, 2018. Retrieved July 26, 2018.
  42. ^ Battipaglia, Helena (September 12, 2018). "'Supernatural' actor supports Democratic gubernatorial candidate". www.mynbc5.com. WPTZ.
  43. ^ Ocasio-Cortez, Alexandria [@Ocasio2018] (August 14, 2018). "Incredible and groundbreaking victory. Congratulations @christineforvt & shout out to Vermont voters for continuing VT's legacy of courageous inclusion & advocacy for all people" (Tweet). Retrieved October 16, 2018 – via Twitter.
  44. ^ Tinney, Don (August 28, 2018). "Vermont-NEA Recommends Hallquist for Governor". www.vtnea.org. Vermont-NEA Board.
  45. ^ Peters, Stephen (August 29, 2018). "HRC Endorses Christine Hallquist for Governor of Vermont | Human Rights Campaign". Human Rights Campaign.
  46. ^ Byrne, Robert (May 22, 2018). "Victory Fund Endorses 24 More LGBTQ Candidates for 2018, Spotlights Five New Historic Races". LGBTQ Victory Fund. LGBTQ Victory Fund.
  47. ^ Sandberg, Stephanie (July 26, 2018). "LPAC Announces 5 New Endorsements for Local Office as Primaries Approach - LPAC". LPAC.
  48. ^ "Republican Leaders Endorse Governor Phil Scott". Phil Scott for Vermont. August 6, 2018.
  49. ^ a b "Governor Jim Douglas and Lt. Governor Brian Dubie Endorse Governor Phil Scott for Reelection". Phil Scott for Vermont. August 3, 2018.
  50. ^ "Phil Scott Receives Small-Business Endorsement in the Race for Governor". NFIB. October 9, 2018.
  51. ^ Landen, Xander (October 7, 2018). "Planned Parenthood declines to endorse in governor's race". VTDigger.
  52. ^ Trevor Barlow (I), Cris Ericson (I), Charles Laramie (I), and Emily Peyton (LU) with 1%; none/write in/other with 3%

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites