2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary

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2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary

← 2016 February 11, 2020 2024 →

33 delegates (24 pledged, 9 unpledged)

The 2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, February 11, 2020, as the second nominating contest in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the Iowa caucuses the week before. The New Hampshire primary is a semi-closed primary, with the state awarding 33 delegates, of which 24 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Procedure[edit]

The state's ballot access laws have traditionally been lenient, with prospective presidential candidates required to pay only a $1,000 fee to secure a line on the primary ballot.[1]

Primary elections are expected to be held on Tuesday, February 11, 2020, with the vast majority of polling places closed by 7 p.m. and a small number of cities allowed to close at 8 p.m. In the semi-closed primary, candidates must meet a viability threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 24 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 24 pledged delegates, 8 each are allocated to each of the state's 2 congressional districts and another 3 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 5 at-large pledged delegates. These delegate totals do not account for pledged delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[2]

The national convention delegation meeting will subsequently be held in Concord on Saturday, April 25, 2020 to vote on the 5 pledged at-large and 3 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 24 pledged delegates New Hampshire sends to the national convention will be joined by 9 unpledged PLEO delegates (5 members of the Democratic National Committee and 4 members of Congress, of which 2 are Senators and 2 are U.S. Representatives).[2]

Polling[edit]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Others Undecided[a]
270 to Win Aug 9, 2019 Jul 12 – Aug 6, 2019 22.4% 9.6% 12.4% 17.2% 18.0% 12.9%[b] 7.5%
RealClear Politics Aug 9, 2019 Jul 8 – Aug 4, 2019 24.0% 7.7% 9.7% 18.7% 17.0% 8.6%[c] 14.3%
   – Debate qualifying poll as designated by the Democratic National Committee
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing Aug 2–6, 2019 250 ± 6.2% 15% 0% 8% 7% 4% 2% 21% 12% 4% 13%[d] 11%
Suffolk University Aug 1–4, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 21% 1% 6% 8% 1% 0% 17% 14% 1% 9%[e] 21%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jul 23–25, 2019 587 ± 3.3% 21% 1% 8% 13% 0% 13% 16% 1% 7% 19%
YouGov/CBS News July 9–18, 2019 530 ±5% 27% 1% 7% 12% 1% 2% 20% 18% 1% 7%[f]
University of New Hampshire/CNN Jul 8–15, 2019 386 ± 5.0% 24% 2% 10% 9% 0% 2% 19% 19% 1% 5%[g] 9%
Saint Anselm College Jul 10–12, 2019 351 ± 5.2% 21% 1% 12% 18% 3% 0% 10% 17% 5% 4%[h] 11%
Change Research Jul 6–9, 2019 1,084 ± 3.0% 19% 1% 13% 15% 1% 1% 20% 22% 1% 6%[i]
Change Research Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 420 13% 2% 14% 13% 1% 2% 26% 24% 2% 6%[j]
Change Research Jun 17–20, 2019 308 24% 0% 14% 3% 1% 4% 28% 21% 1% 4%[k]
YouGov/CBS News May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 502 ± 4.9% 33% 3% 10% 7% 1% 4% 20% 17% 1% 3%[l]
Tel Opinion Research* May 20–22, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 33% 7% 7% 1% 12% 11% 28%
Monmouth University May 2–7, 2019 376 ± 5.1% 36% 2% 9% 6% 2% 2% 18% 8% 1% 2%[m] 11%
Change Research May 3–5, 2019 864 ± 3.3% 26% 2% 12% 8% 1% 3% 30% 9% 2% 5%[n]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 551 ± 4.0% 34% 1% 10% 7% 1% 3% 16% 9% 19%
Suffolk University Apr 25–28, 2019 429 ± 4.7% 20% 3% 12% 6% 1% 3% 12% 8% 1% 5%[o] 27%
University of New Hampshire Apr 10–18, 2019 241 ± 6.3% 18% 3% 15% 4% 2% 3% 30% 5% 2% 6%[p] 12%
Saint Anselm College Apr 3–8, 2019 326 ± 5.4% 23% 4% 11% 7% 2% 6% 16% 9% 9%[q] 13%
University of New Hampshire Feb 18–26, 2019 240 ± 6.3% 22% 3% 1% 10% 4% 5% 26% 7% 7%[r] 14%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 405 ± 4.8% 25% 5% 1% 12% 8% 5% 27% 9% 10%[s]
YouGov/UMass Amherst Feb 7–15, 2019 337 ± 6.4% 28% 3% 14% 1% 6% 20% 9% 9%[t] 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 518 ± 4.1% 22% 4% 13% 2% 2% 13% 9% 0%[u] 35%
Change Research Jan 2–3, 2019 1,162 24% 3% 4% 2% 9% 26% 11% 22%[v]
University of New Hampshire Aug 2–19, 2018 198 ± 7.0% 19% 6% 3% 30% 17% 12%[w] 12%
Suffolk University Apr 26–30, 2018 295 ± 5.7% 20% 8% 4% 13% 26% 8%[x] 18%
30% 10% 6% 25% 14%[y] 12%
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–22, 2018 188 ± 7.1% 26% 5% 6% 1% 28% 11% 9%[z] 13%
University of New Hampshire Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 219 ± 6.6% 35% 3% 1% 0% 24% 15% 7%[aa] 15%
University of New Hampshire Oct 3–15, 2017 212 ± 6.7% 24% 6% 1% 1% 31% 13% 14%[ab] 11%

Head-to-head polls[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Undecided
Tel Opinion Research May 20–22, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 63% 21% 15%
66% 22% 13%
58% 29% 13%
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 400 ± 5.0% 47% 45% 7%
58% 33% 8%

Notes[edit]

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ Gabbard with 2.0%; Yang with 1.8%; O'Rourke with 1.4%; Booker and Klobuchar with 1.2%; Gillibrand and Williamson with 1.0%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.8%; Hickenlooper and Steyer with 0.7%; Castro with 0.3%; Bullock, de Blasio, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0.0%
  3. ^ Gabbard with 2.0%; Booker and O'Rourke with 1.3%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Steyer, and Yang with 1.0%
  4. ^ Gabbard with 5%; Steyer with 4%; Castro with 2%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%
  5. ^ Gabbard with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Steyer with 1%; others with 0%
  6. ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
  7. ^ Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Steyer with 0%
  8. ^ Williamson with 2%; Gabbard and Gillibrand with 1%; Inslee with 0%
  9. ^ Gabbard with 3%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
  10. ^ Gabbard with 2%; Gillibrand, Gravel, Inslee, and Moulton with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  11. ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  12. ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
  13. ^ Hickenlooper and Ryan with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet, Castro, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
  14. ^ Delaney with 2%; Gabbard, Moulton, and Ryan with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  15. ^ Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  16. ^ Ryan with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Messam, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  17. ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
  18. ^ Bloomberg, Brown, Gabbard, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 3%
  19. ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Castro and Gabbard with 0%; others with 5%
  20. ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Castro with 1%; others with 3%
  21. ^ Gillibrand with 0%
  22. ^ Kennedy with 9%; Clinton with 3%; Bloomberg, Kerry, and Klobuchar with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ojeda, and Steyer with 1%; Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Swalwell with 0%
  23. ^ Kennedy with 7%; Holder with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 2%
  24. ^ Patrick with 4%; Gillibrand and McAuliffe with 2%
  25. ^ Patrick with 8%; Gillibrand with 3%; McAuliffe with 2%; others with 1%
  26. ^ Kennedy with 3%; O'Malley with 2%; Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Ryan with 0%; others with 2%
  27. ^ Gillibrand with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; others with 4%
  28. ^ O'Malley with 3%; Hickenlooper and Zuckerberg with 2%; Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney with 0%; others with 5%

References[edit]

  1. ^ "New Hampshire Election Laws, 655:48 Fees". New Hampshire Secretary of State. 2017. Retrieved 17 April 2019.
  2. ^ a b "New Hampshire Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. March 31, 2019. Retrieved April 12, 2019.

External links[edit]