2020 South Carolina Democratic primary

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2020 South Carolina Democratic primary

← 2016 February 29, 2020 2024 →

63 delegates (54 pledged, 9 unpledged)

The 2020 South Carolina Democratic primary will take place on Saturday, February 29, 2020, as the fourth nominating contest in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the Nevada caucuses the week before. The South Carolina primary is an open primary, with the state awarding 63 delegates, of which 54 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Procedure[edit]

Primary elections are scheduled to be held on Saturday, February 29, 2020. In the open primary, candidates must meet a viability threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 54 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these 54 pledged delegates, 35 are allocated on the basis of the results within each congressional district, between 4 and 8 are allocated to each of the state's 7 congressional districts and another 7 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 12 at-large pledged delegates. These delegate totals do not account for pledged delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[1]

The precinct reorganization meetings will subsequently be held on Saturday, March 14, 2020 to choose delegates for the county conventions, followed by county conventions between Wednesday, March 25 and Tuesday, April 7 to elect delegates to the state Democratic convention. On March 30, 2020, the state Democratic convention will meet in Columbia to vote on the unpledged delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 54 pledged delegates South Carolina sends to the national convention will be joined by 9 unpledged PLEO delegates (7 members of the Democratic National Committee and 2 members of Congress, of which all 2 are U.S. Representatives).[1]

Polling[edit]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Others Undecided[a]
270 to Win Jul 25, 2019 Jul 11 – Jul 25, 2019 35.0% 3.5% 4.5% 14.3% 14.3% 10.3% 9.6%[b] 8.5%
RealClear Politics Jul 25, 2019 Jun 11 – Jul 22, 2019 37.5% 3.3% 5.8% 11.3% 12.5% 10.8% 7%[c] 11.8%
   – Debate qualifying poll as designated by the Democratic National Committee
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Change Research Aug 9–12, 2019 521 ± 4.3% 36% 4% 5% 12% 1% 16% 17% 9%[d]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jul 23–25, 2019 554 ± 3.8% 31% 2% 4% 10% 0% 9% 12% 8%[e] 24%
Monmouth University Jul 18–22, 2019 405 ± 4.9% 39% 2% 5% 12% 1% 10% 9% 5%[f] 17%
YouGov/CBS News Jul 9–18, 2019 997 ±3.8% 39% 3% 5% 12% 2% 17% 12% 10%[g]
Fox News Jul 7–10, 2019 701 ± 3.5% 35% 3% 2% 12% 0% 14% 5% 3%[h] 20%
Change Research Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 421 27% 6% 6% 21% 1% 16% 15% 8%[i]
Change Research Jun 17–20, 2019 308 39% 5% 11% 9% 5% 13% 15% 5%[j]
Change Research Jun 11–14, 2019 933 ± 3.2% 37% 5% 11% 9% 4% 9% 17% 8%[k]
YouGov/CBS News May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 552 45% 4% 6% 7% 4% 18% 8% 8%[l]
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 183 ± 7.2% 36% 4% 7% 4% 2% 13% 12% 4%[m]
Tel Opinion Research* May 22–24, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 37% 2% 3% 7% 10% 8% 32%
Crantford Research May 14–16, 2019 381 ± 5.0% 42% 4% 8% 10% 7% 8%
Change Research May 6–9, 2019 595 ± 4.0% 46% 4% 8% 10% 2% 15% 8% 5%[n]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 568 ± 4.5% 48% 4% 5% 4% 1% 12% 5% 1%[o] 20%
Change Research Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2019 744 ± 3.6% 32% 9% 7% 10% 9% 14% 6% 12%[p]
12% 12% 15% 16% 24% 11% 12%[q]
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 291 ± 5.7% 37% 6% 0% 9% 5% 21% 5% 16%[r]
Change Research Feb 15–18, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 36% 10% 13% 8% 14% 9% 12%[s]
28% 1% 35% 20% 18%[t]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 557 ± 4.0% 36% 5% 12% 2% 8% 4% 2%[u] 31%

Head-to-head polls[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Undecided
Tel Opinion Research May 22–24, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 71% 10% 19%
70% 15% 16%
67% 15% 18%

Notes[edit]

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ Steyer and O'Rourke with 1%; Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0.8%; Bennet, Hickenlooper, Gabbard, and Klobuchar with 0.5%; Bullock, Castro, Inslee, and Ryan with 0.3%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, Sestak with 0.0%
  3. ^ O'Rourke with 1.8%; Steyer with 1.5%; Yang with 1.3%; Klobuchar, Williamson with 0.8%; Delaney with 0.5%; Bennet with 0.3%
  4. ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Ryan, Steyer, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
  5. ^ Yang with 1%; "A different Democratic candidate" with 7%
  6. ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with <1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
  7. ^ Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Ryan, Steyer, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
  8. ^ Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, and Steyer with 0%
  9. ^ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Gravel, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
  10. ^ Yang with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  11. ^ Yang with 3%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
  12. ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Klobuchar, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 3%
  13. ^ Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Klobuchar, and Yang with 0%
  14. ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
  15. ^ Klobuchar with 1%
  16. ^ Abrams with 7%; Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  17. ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney, Inslee, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Gabbard and Williamson with 0%
  18. ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%: Brown and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, and Delaney with 0%; others with 8%
  19. ^ Brown and Holder with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, McAuliffe, and Williamson with 0%
  20. ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Castro with 4%; Delaney with 3%; Gabbard and Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand and Yang with 1%
  21. ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Gillibrand with 0%

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "South Carolina Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. March 31, 2019. Retrieved April 12, 2019.

External links[edit]