Politics in the San Francisco Bay Area

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Presidential election results
Year Democrat Republican
2016 74.5% 2,339,480 18.9% 594,831
2012 72.9% 2,105,625 24.1% 696,656
2008 73.8% 2,172,411 24.4% 717,989
2004 69.2% 1,926,726 29.3% 815,225
2000 64.1% 1,607,695 30.0% 751,832
1996 60.5% 1,417,511 28.3% 662,263
1992 56.2% 1,476,971 25.0% 658,202
1988 57.8% 1,338,533 40.8% 945,802
1984 50.8% 1,157,855 47.9% 1,090,115
1980 40.7% 827,309 44.4% 904,100
1976 49.9% 950,055 45.8% 872,920
1972 48.2% 990,560 49.1 1,007,615
1968 50.8% 890,650 41.3% 725,304
1964 65.7% 1,116,215 34.1% 579,528
1960 52.0% 820,860 47.6% 751,719

Politics in the San Francisco Bay Area is widely regarded as one of the most liberal in the country. According to the California Secretary of State, the Democratic Party holds a voter registration advantage in every congressional district, State Senate district, State Assembly district, State Board of Equalization district, all nine counties, and all of the 101 incorporated municipalities in the Bay Area. The Republican Party holds a voter registration advantage in one State Assembly sub-district (the portion of the 4th in Solano County).[1]

Since 1960, the nine-county Bay Area has voted for Republican presidential candidates only twice: in 1972 for Richard Nixon and in 1980 for Ronald Reagan, both Californians. The last county to vote for a Republican presidential candidate was Napa County in 1988 for George H. W. Bush.

County-level statistics[edit]

All nine counties in the Bay Area currently have a voter registration advantage in favor of the Democratic Party.

County
Population (2010)[2] 2012 election results[3] Median household income (2011)[4] Per capita income (2011)[4] Voter Registration (2013)[5]
Democratic Independent Republican
Alameda 1,510,271 78.9%–18.2% Obama $67,558 $33,888 461,007 158,958 114,802
Contra Costa 1,049,025 66.2%–31.2% Obama $74,353 $36,274 263,258 113,358 131,608
Marin 252,409 74.3%–23.0% Obama $77,168 $49,439 83,853 35,251 28,116
Napa 136,484 63.0%–34.3% Obama $61,460 $32,170 33,182 15,248 19,142
San Francisco 805,235 83.5%–13.0% Obama $69,894 $44,905 276,855 154,691 42,922
San Mateo 718,451 72.1%–25.5% Obama $81,657 $44,331 185,134 92,158 69,925
Santa Clara 1,781,642 70.1%–27.2% Obama $84,895 $39,365 372,979 237,357 177,268
Solano 413,344 63.5%–34.2% Obama $63,795 $27,785 102,177 46,246 52,633
Sonoma 483,878 71.1%–25.3% Obama $61,020 $30,868 134,896 55,666 56,428
Median 72.9%–24.1% Obama $73,562 $37,851
Total 7,150,739 1,913,341 908,933 692,844

Congressional districts[edit]

Every Congressional district in the Bay Area is currently represented by a Democrat. According to the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI), congressional districts the Bay Area tends to favor Democratic candidates by roughly 40 to 50 percentage points, considerably above the mean for California and the nation overall. All congressional districts in the region voted for Democrat Barack Obama over Republican John McCain in the 2008 Presidential Election.

District Location Representative Cook PVI[8] 2012 election results[3] Median household income (2011)[9]
2nd Marin County and the North Coast Jared Huffman D+20 69.0%–27.0% Obama $56,576
3rd Fairfield, Vacaville, and the Sacramento Valley John Garamendi D+3 54.3%–43.1% Obama $53,602
5th Santa Rosa, Napa County, Vallejo, and Martinez Mike Thompson D+19 69.7%–27.4% Obama $58,942
9th Antioch and most of San Joaquin County Jerry McNerney D+6 57.8%–40.1% Obama $52,209
11th Most of Contra Costa County Mark DeSaulnier D+17 67.5%–29.9% Obama $69,586
12th Most of San Francisco Nancy Pelosi D+34 84.0%–12.5% Obama $69,046
13th Berkeley, Oakland, and San Leandro Barbara Lee D+37 87.5%–9.0% Obama $56,906
14th Most of San Mateo County and southern San Francisco Jackie Speier D+23 74.2%–23.6% Obama $79,287
15th Hayward, Union City, and the Tri-Valley Eric Swalwell D+16 68.0%–29.8% Obama $82,179
17th Fremont and northern Silicon Valley Ro Khanna D+20 71.9%–25.5% Obama $92,030
18th Menlo Park and western Silicon Valley Anna Eshoo D+18 68.2%–28.9% Obama $97,001
19th San Jose and Morgan Hill Zoe Lofgren D+19 71.2%–26.5% Obama $71,479
Median D+19 69.3%–27.2% Obama $69,316

During the Base Realignment and Closures (BRACs) of the 1990s, almost all the military installations in the region were closed.[10][11] The only remaining major active duty military installations are Travis Air Force Base[12] and Coast Guard Island.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Report of Registration" (PDF). California Secretary of State. February 10, 2019. Retrieved March 12, 2019.
  2. ^ "2010 Census Summary File 1". 2010 United States Census. United States Census Bureau. Retrieved September 1, 2013.
  3. ^ a b "2012 California Presidential Election Results by County" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 9, 2014. Retrieved September 1, 2013.
  4. ^ a b "2011 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates". 2011 American Community Survey. United States Census Bureau. Retrieved September 1, 2013.
  5. ^ "Report of Registration". California Secretary of State. February 10, 2013. Retrieved January 20, 2014.[permanent dead link]
  6. ^ U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, Table B02001. American FactFinder. Retrieved October 26, 2013.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k California Secretary of State. Report of Registration as of February 10, 2017.
  8. ^ "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress" (PDF). Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 1, 2013.
  9. ^ "My Congressional District". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved September 1, 2013.
  10. ^ Kevin Starr (February 27, 2005). "Keep California the 'Gibraltar of the Pacific'". San Diego Union Tribune. Retrieved May 16, 2011.
  11. ^ Jane Gross (March 14, 1993). "Spared 2 Base Closings, Californians Lobby On". The New York Times. Retrieved May 16, 2011.
  12. ^ "Base-closing plan spares Beale, Travis". Sacramento Business Journal. May 13, 2005. Retrieved May 16, 2011.