Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts

Monday, June 16, 2008

The Audacity Of Hope? (aka Fug You Florida & Ohio?)

You cannot stop the AP's Phil Elliott, you cannot even hope to contain him.

Elliott, in Washington the other day for about 38 seconds, manages to sniff out a story (along with Nedra Pickler) about Team Obama seeing a path to the presidency even without wins in Florida and Ohio.

The first three graphs:
Barack Obama's campaign envisions a path to the presidency that could include Virginia, Georgia and several Rocky Mountain states, but not necessarily the pair of battlegrounds that decided the last two elections — Florida and Ohio.

In a private pitch late last week to donors and former supporters of Hillary Rodham Clinton, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe outlined several alternatives to reaching the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House that runs counter to the conventional wisdom of recent elections.

At a fundraiser held at a Washington brewery Friday, Plouffe told a largely young crowd that the electoral map would be fundamentally different from the one in 2004. Wins in Ohio and Florida would guarantee Obama the presidency if he holds onto the states won by Democrat John Kerry, Plouffe said, but those two battlegrounds aren't required for victory.
We'll let "real" electoral strategists debate the realities of Plouffe's remarks.

But we do know two things: First, GOP FL/GOP OH are going to have a field day with this story. And should.

Second, how does Team Obama let these remarks leak? We can almost hear the screaming in Chicago now. 

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

ICYMI: John McCain's Current Path To The Nomination, Hollywood Style

Last night John McCain fired several Sunshine State missiles into the Death Star's power regulator on the north tower (meaning that he is currently at 1:35 on the YouTube counter).

Now all Mac has to do is outrun the exploding anti-McCain coalition on February 5th.

But the DC Death Star is over and done with no matter what.

Abandon ship!

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

McCain Wins Florida & Is The Most Likely Next Republican Nominee For President By Far. No Shit.

Florida goes for McCain!!!

Congratulations Senator!!!

Congratulations Team McCain!!!

What a night!!!

Let's Party!!!

Fox Calls Florida For McCain & The DC Death Star Is, Officially, Mission Critical

Mission. Critical.

Lots of long faces in DC tonight.

It's good for them. They earned it.

Florida Pretending, Who Is & Who Ain't

We'll know very shortly.

But the high turnout in Florida should make one GOP camp feel cautiously optimistic. And one camp not so much.

Cooper Says (Part 2)...

The Florida polls don't close for 10 hours. So turn off the idiot box.

And pay attention to the game because you're in serious trouble.

It's your move, punk.

Monday, January 28, 2008

Florida Primary Snapshot On The Day Before

Everything that you need to know about the Sunshine State battle tomorrow (we could have written this last spring):

Tighter than a tick between Romney and McCain. Rudy is out. Huckabee is focused on February 5th states. The good Lord only knows what Ron Paul is up to.

Any questions? No?

Good. Let's rock.

We got nothing but time.

Florida Hardball

This morning Team McCain dropped a lengthy research memo on Mitt-Flop's flip-flops on the issues of climate change and the gas tax.

You have to give the skeletal (but still very effective) McCain communications shop credit, they have owned the last 48 hours of the news cycle and it now looks like, with the release of the memo, that they might very well own the last 36 hours going into tomorrow's Florida primary.

Saturday night into Sunday it was all about the Crist endorsement.

Sunday into Monday it was all about Mitt Romney and timelines for Iraq.

Monday into Tuesday(?) it looks like it might be all about Romney being a flip-flopper.

Budding political/comm operatives take note, that's getting it done.

But Governor Romney so badly wants to talk about the economy!?!??!!

As they say down in Florida, "Tough Titties".

And with the Florida race locked in a virtual tie with about 36 hours to go, tough titties is not where Team Romney wants to be.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Team Romney Florida Asks, What The Hell Happened?

We'll let one of our betters in the Gang of 500 write the backstory on McCain and Crist.

But what we will say to Team Romney is, can you really be all that surprised?

Saturday, January 26, 2008

McCain Light

The former Mayor's close in the Sunshine State.

But with Johnny Mac in the race, what's Rudy's justification?


Thursday, January 24, 2008

Is Charlie Crist Going To Endorse Before The Florida Primary?

Time's Halperin asks the The People's Governor the endorsement question and, from what he tells Mark, it sounds like Crist just might.

Just might. Maybe.

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

A Quick Sunshine State Question After The Latest Poll Numbers...

If the Florida media spends the next 6 days pounding the "Rudy is cooked" drum (and it looks like they already have already started in St. Petersburg), does Rudy's support erode further because Florida voters want to vote for someone that they perceive could actually win?

We think that the answer is yes.

So then the question is, where does Rudy's support go?

Into the waiting arms of John McCain?

Maybe so.

Maaaaaaaaaaaybe so.

Latest Florida Poll Numbers: Rudy Getting Ready To Cue Some Sugar Ray

When It's Over.

It's over.

Far From A Macaca Moment

We know we're about 37 zillion news cycles behind on this one, but the press is still talking about Mitt Romney jive talking with some real live African American voters at a MLK Day parade on Monday.

Specifically, Mitt's use of the term "Who let the dogs out, woof, woof" and "bling bling".

Watch the full clip here:

And then compare it to this:

Mitt's comments don't have the same racist and nasty and bullying undertone that George Allen's Macaca comment does.

In other words, just because Mitt is ignorant doesn't make him a racist.

It just makes him ignorant.

We're just saying.

Monday, January 21, 2008

John McCain's Current Path To The Republican Nomination In 2 Minutes & 22 Seconds

A McCain win in the upcoming Florida Primary would put him at about 1:35 on the YouTube counter - the (DC) Death Star has been destroyed but Johnny Mac still has to outrun the explosion on February 5th.

Of course, McCain is in the Millennium Falcon. And she's got it where it counts.


Thursday, January 17, 2008

McCain v. Romney: As It Was, As It Is, And As It Will Be (Probably)

Willard in Florida.

Team Romney has swung back around to what Team McCain has known all along - John McCain is Mitt Romney's biggest stumbling block in the path for the GOP nomination.

And vice-versa.

The Farce That Is Giuliani's Fortress Florida

Take a good, hard look at this.

And then ask yourself: Why do Republican voters come back to Rudy Giuliani in Florida?

He's already living there. He's already on the air there. He's already phone banking there. He's already blanketing the state with mail there.

And yet Rudy is still bleeding Sunshine State support.

Can Rudy Giuliani expect to contrast himself so well with the winner of South Carolina and Mitt Romney that Florida voters swing back to him? Let alone with whoever else is left when Florida rolls around? Probably (almost certainly) not.

Can Rudy Giuliani expect that Florida voters will wake up the day after South Carolina and say to themselves, "Wow, this race is still a muddle. I'm going with Rudy"? Probably (almost certainly) not.

Several smart folks have spend the last few days asking: Does momentum matter in 2008?

And the answer is: Yes! Of course it does.

The only winner of the first three contests who did not get a tangible bump from their win was Mitt Romney in Michigan.

And we would argue that the reason for that is because 1. Michigan ain't New Hampshire, Iowa or South Carolina and therefore nobody really cared about the Michigan Primary (besides Romney and McCain), 2. Whoever might have cared about Michigan was told by Team McCain that Romney is a "native son" who spent zillions and 3. Clinton and Obama were sucking all the oxygen out of Michigan's earned media cycles with their race debate.

Noted: But even after all that, we've still not downplaying the fact that Romney had to win Michigan and John McCain would have loved to.

In Iowa, Mike Huckabee became a GOP contender overnight when he won. And it gave him the name ID and the resources to place third in New Hampshire, third in Michigan and gives him a shot to win South Carolina.

In New Hampshire, John McCain came back from the dead and got a bounce in South Carolina, he got a bounce in Florida and he got a bounce in the national polls (which don't mean squat).

So momentum matters. Granted, to different candidates in different places it may matter more or it may matter less, but it matters.

But something else matters as well: You have to play to stay.

And through Iowa and through New Hampshire and through Michigan and (almost) through South Carolina Rudy Giuliani has been nowhere. Except fighting for position with Duncan Hunter, Ron Paul and uncommitted.

And he's watched his Florida numbers drop (drop, drop, still dropping!) because of it.

And we think that Mitt Romney (and his zillions), whoever wins South Carolina and maybe the 2nd place winner out of South Carolina are going to come roaring into Florida - muddle or not - and they are going to roll right over Rudy Giuliani's firewall.

Because why do those Florida voters come back to Rudy?

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

The NY Post Beats Rudy Like A Drum

The NY Post!

Noted: Wasn't Hiz Honor supposed to be friendly with the paper's owner or something?

Anyway, it's ugly.

Really ugly.

But, dare we say it, oh so true:

But there's only one GOP candidate that beats all the rest at being a loser: Rudy Giuliani.

He has perfected the art of underperforming to the point that his campaign now insists it was all part of his game plan.

He's been reduced to watching from the sidelines and praying for other people to lose - like McCain in Michigan so his momentum would be stalled - rather than getting in the game and winning himself.

In fact, Rudy's campaigned so badly that the latest poll shows him losing New Jersey, which had a front-row seat for his shining moment during 9/11.

Even fringe candidate Ron Paul - the million-to-one long shot everybody picks on to make themselves look good - is beating Giuliani.

Paul, who finished ahead of Giuliani in Michigan, currently has twice as much claim on the Republican nomination as "America's Mayor."

He's picked up two delegates.

Giuliani? He's got just one.

We smell a rock reference.

Take it away Beck!

The Ultimate (I'm Not Really A) Republican Pander

The largest tax cut in the history of the universe!

Without any plan to have the largest spending cut in the history of the universe!

Just what our economy needs right now.


Friday, January 11, 2008

You Can't Go 0 For 4 And Expect To Win Florida (or anything)? Shocking.

Rudy Giuliani is going to go 0 for 4 heading into the Florida contest.

His poll numbers in the Sunshine State? Dropping.

His national finance chair? He's quit.

His staff? Working without pay (those who are left).

And the best news for Team Giuliani? There are still 14 or 15 days (and a trillion news cycles) before anyone starts paying even a little attention to what the former national front runner has to say down in Florida.

14 or 15 days?

Can anyone say free fall?